Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho volebn\u00edho modelu agentury Median by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b sn\u011bmovn\u00edch voleb v \u00fanoru obh\u00e1jilo prvenstv\u00ed hnut\u00ed ANO s ziskem 33,5 procenta hlas\u016f. Koalice Spolu by si polep\u0161ila na 18,5 procenta, zat\u00edmco pro hnut\u00ed STAN by hlasovalo 10 procent voli\u010d\u016f. Model p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1, \u017ee do Sn\u011bmovny by se dostalo celkem sedm stran a hnut\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b Motorist\u016f sob\u011b, SPD, Pir\u00e1ti a uskupen\u00ed Sta\u010dilo!<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V porovn\u00e1n\u00ed s p\u0159edchoz\u00edmi m\u011bs\u00edci se preference ANO zm\u011bnily jen m\u00edrn\u011b. Koalice Spolu si vylep\u0161ila sv\u016fj v\u00fdsledek o 1,5 procentn\u00edho bodu, av\u0161ak Starostov\u00e9 zaznamenali pokles o jeden procentn\u00ed bod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Motorist\u00e9 sob\u011b by v \u00fanoru z\u016fstali na osmi procentech, zat\u00edmco SPD oslabilo na sedm procent. Tento model zat\u00edm nebere v potaz b\u0159eznov\u00e9 memorandum o spolupr\u00e1ci mezi SPD, Svobodn\u00fdmi, Trikolorou a stranou PRO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Do Sn\u011bmovny by se dostalo tak\u00e9 hnut\u00ed Sta\u010dilo! se ziskem 6,5 procenta. Preference Pir\u00e1t\u016f vzrostly z p\u0159edchoz\u00edch \u010dty\u0159 na \u0161est procent, co\u017e by znamenalo n\u00e1vrat t\u00e9to strany do Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Naopak mimo Sn\u011bmovnu by z\u016fstala \u010cSSD, s podporou 3,5 procenta, a Trikol\u00f3ra by z\u00edskala pouze dv\u011b procenta hlas\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
„V\u00edce ne\u017e t\u0159etina voli\u010d\u016f koalice Spolu z roku 2021 uv\u00e1d\u00ed, \u017ee by tuto koalici nyn\u00ed nevolili,“ p\u0159izn\u00e1v\u00e1 Median. Podle jeho anal\u00fdzy je Spolu nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed volbou lid\u00ed ve v\u011bkov\u00e9 skupin\u011b 16 a\u017e 24 let a tak\u00e9 mezi vysoko\u0161kolsky vzd\u011blan\u00fdmi voli\u010di. Koalice vede rovn\u011b\u017e u podnikatel\u016f, student\u016f a prvovoli\u010d\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed opozi\u010dn\u00ed hnut\u00ed ANO se t\u011b\u0161\u00ed popularit\u011b p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm u voli\u010d\u016f star\u0161\u00edch 35 let. Oproti tomu, ANO se da\u0159\u00ed tak\u00e9 z\u00edsk\u00e1vat nov\u00e9 voli\u010de z neregistrovan\u00fdch, a mezi sv\u00fdmi b\u00fdval\u00fdmi voli\u010di si udr\u017euje pom\u011brn\u011b vysokou spokojenost. „Pouze ka\u017ed\u00fd \u010dtvrt\u00fd b\u00fdval\u00fd voli\u010d ANO by nyn\u00ed tuto stranu nevolil nebo nev\u00ed, koho zvolit,“ \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 Median.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Pokud bychom p\u0159evedli preference na mand\u00e1ty, ANO by m\u011blo obsadit 74 k\u0159esel v Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovn\u011b, koalice Spolu by m\u011bla 41 mand\u00e1t\u016f a Starostov\u00e9 23. Celkov\u011b by strany sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vl\u00e1dn\u00ed koalice m\u011bly m\u00edt 64 k\u0159esel. Pro Motoristy model p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 18 mand\u00e1t\u016f, SPD 16 a hnut\u00ed Sta\u010dilo! 17 poslanc\u016f. Pir\u00e1ti by m\u011bli m\u00edt zastoupen\u00ed s 13 poslanci.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
P\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e1 koalice ANO a Spolu by z\u00edskala jasnou v\u011bt\u0161inu s 115 poslanci. Ostatn\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e9 koalice by se musely skl\u00e1dat alespo\u0148 ze t\u0159\u00ed stran, podot\u00fdk\u00e1 Median.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volebn\u00ed model agentury Median byl sestaven z pr\u016fzkumu ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed, kter\u00fd se konal od 1. do 28. \u00fanora. Do n\u011bj se zapojilo 1 019 respondent\u016f ve v\u011bku 18 a v\u00edce let. Pro v\u00fdpo\u010det volebn\u00edho modelu bylo zahrnuto 607 \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edk\u016f, kte\u0159\u00ed pl\u00e1nuj\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast na volb\u00e1ch, s odchylkou od plus minus p\u016fl procentn\u00edho bodu u mal\u00fdch stran a\u017e po plus minus 3,5 procentn\u00edho bodu u nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch stran, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e model p\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1 volebn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dast 60,5 procenta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Zdroj: \u010cTK<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Foto: Autor: P\u016fvodn\u011b soubor na\u010detl Ludek na projektu Wikipedie v jazyce \u010de\u0161tina \u2013 P\u016fvodn\u00ed str\u00e1nka s popisem souboru byla zde. V\u0161echna n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed u\u017eivatelsk\u00e1 jm\u00e9na odkazuj\u00ed na projekt cs.wikipedia., CC BY-SA 3.0, https:\/\/commons.wikimedia.org\/w\/index.php?curid=9039249<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Podle nejnov\u011bj\u0161\u00edho volebn\u00edho modelu agentury Median by v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b sn\u011bmovn\u00edch voleb v \u00fanoru obh\u00e1jilo prvenstv\u00ed hnut\u00ed ANO s ziskem 33,5 procenta hlas\u016f. Koalice Spolu by si polep\u0161ila na 18,5 procenta, zat\u00edmco pro hnut\u00ed STAN by …\u010d\u00edst d\u00e1le<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":267,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=266"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":268,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/266\/revisions\/268"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/267"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=266"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=266"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/nasregion-ustecko.cz\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=266"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}